Monday, January 10, 2011
WXRisk.com Owner David Tolleris threatens people
Well hey does this look familiar or what? The same BS I was scrubbed for a few years ago has now surfaced back on another person. DT is no different and has no say so in this. This is calling people an asshole and also threatening ME.
Sunday, January 9, 2011
WxRisk DT's forecast from January 7th calls out VA Meteorologist
The following is a clip from WxRisk's site, calling a Richmond, VA TV Meteorologist out because WxRisk DT thinks he'll be wrong and blasts him for lowering snowfall forecasts - Turns out .... THE TV MET WAS RIGHT ALL ALONG. Look at this ego -
1855 EST 7JAN
One of the things that I do differently and makes me better most other meteorologists on TV is that even when there is no a snowstorm coming I closely watched and follow weather models beyond 48 hours. Beyond three days… Beyond six days beyond 10 days. All year around. But it is not just me– you will find this to be true with any energy or agricultural meteorologist because when you are dealing with the timeframe is that we are dealing with you need every piece of inside information you can get.
There is a site on the Internet which you can access for free run by NWS ‘s department of environmental modeling center ( EMC). This department is responsible for developing maintaining and tracking all the various weather models that are used to see which weather model reforms the best and under what conditions.
It has long been known that the 18Z GFS run has been the most inaccurate and worst performer of the four GFS Model runs ( 0z 6z 12z and 18z). Unfortunately there are TV meteorologists out there… one of them the Richmond… that sees the 18 Z GFS and has decided for some incomprehensible reason …..that all the other data which came out today that showed significant snow coming for Central Virginia is now absolutely worthless. This genius has decided to ditch all that the other model data and use the 18Z GFS and thus has lowered his snow numbers to wwell below any other Model Guidance for Tuesday Jan 11 event.
It is clear that he is unaware of how badly performing the 18z GFS is. That much is Obvious. But there also seems to be a problem with the reasoning. Given that the event is still four days out why would any one throw out ALL the other model data today showing significant snowfall for Central Virginia and decide to go with one model which showed much less snow?
The mind is simply boggles by the ahem reasoning.
We will start out by taking a look that the model data from early this morning. Even though a lot of the model data on Thursday was pretty aggressive with the potential snow situation for Virginia and the Middle Atlantic states the European model was not. The European model on Tuesday Wednesday and Thursday showed a flat wave of Low with not a lot of development …moving off the Hatteras Coast with only a moderate amount of precipitation getting into Eastern Virginia.
And as I have stated many times before… The European model is the model choice for East coast winter storms in the day 3 to day 8 range.
This image shows the shift in the European model which started this morning. There are four maps the two top ones are the European ensemble models . It takes the Low pressure area of near the Savannah Coast moves up the Carolina Coast line then hooks a right turn east of Norfolk. The bottom 2 maps are the 0z JAN 7 GFS Ensemble which show a similar pattern… but here the GFS is a little warmer over southeastern Virginia. The 0z GFS and Canadian had more snow and a Bigger Low further up the coast with up to an 10″ or so of snow over DCA area.
1855 EST 7JAN
One of the things that I do differently and makes me better most other meteorologists on TV is that even when there is no a snowstorm coming I closely watched and follow weather models beyond 48 hours. Beyond three days… Beyond six days beyond 10 days. All year around. But it is not just me– you will find this to be true with any energy or agricultural meteorologist because when you are dealing with the timeframe is that we are dealing with you need every piece of inside information you can get.
There is a site on the Internet which you can access for free run by NWS ‘s department of environmental modeling center ( EMC). This department is responsible for developing maintaining and tracking all the various weather models that are used to see which weather model reforms the best and under what conditions.
It has long been known that the 18Z GFS run has been the most inaccurate and worst performer of the four GFS Model runs ( 0z 6z 12z and 18z). Unfortunately there are TV meteorologists out there… one of them the Richmond… that sees the 18 Z GFS and has decided for some incomprehensible reason …..that all the other data which came out today that showed significant snow coming for Central Virginia is now absolutely worthless. This genius has decided to ditch all that the other model data and use the 18Z GFS and thus has lowered his snow numbers to wwell below any other Model Guidance for Tuesday Jan 11 event.
It is clear that he is unaware of how badly performing the 18z GFS is. That much is Obvious. But there also seems to be a problem with the reasoning. Given that the event is still four days out why would any one throw out ALL the other model data today showing significant snowfall for Central Virginia and decide to go with one model which showed much less snow?
The mind is simply boggles by the ahem reasoning.
We will start out by taking a look that the model data from early this morning. Even though a lot of the model data on Thursday was pretty aggressive with the potential snow situation for Virginia and the Middle Atlantic states the European model was not. The European model on Tuesday Wednesday and Thursday showed a flat wave of Low with not a lot of development …moving off the Hatteras Coast with only a moderate amount of precipitation getting into Eastern Virginia.
And as I have stated many times before… The European model is the model choice for East coast winter storms in the day 3 to day 8 range.
This image shows the shift in the European model which started this morning. There are four maps the two top ones are the European ensemble models . It takes the Low pressure area of near the Savannah Coast moves up the Carolina Coast line then hooks a right turn east of Norfolk. The bottom 2 maps are the 0z JAN 7 GFS Ensemble which show a similar pattern… but here the GFS is a little warmer over southeastern Virginia. The 0z GFS and Canadian had more snow and a Bigger Low further up the coast with up to an 10″ or so of snow over DCA area.
WXRisk.com Owner David Tolleris resorts to personal attacks
How professional is this? Now I can say I wasn't professional several years ago ... this I'll admit, but look at this!
Here is David ...
Click to Visit TheWeatherSpace.com
Visit TWS on FACEBOOK -
Here is David ...
Click to Visit TheWeatherSpace.com
Visit TWS on FACEBOOK -
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